by Elias Muhanna
Elias Muhanna, a PhD candidate in Near Eastern Studies at Harvard University, writes the widely read Lebanese blog Qifa Nabki. His commentary has appeared in The National, Foreign Policy, and other publications.
As would become clear in the ensuing days, these characterizations were premature. Though March 14 managed to hold on to its majority in the 128-seat parliament, the opposition - comprising Hezbollah, Amal, and Michel Aoun's Change & Reform Bloc - won far more votes. Due to the nature of the Lebanese block vote electoral system (featuring multi-member districts with multiple vote ballots) the exact margin of the opposition's popular vote victory is a matter of dispute, but most calculations place it in the neighborhood of 10%....
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